Showing posts with label [.Stop loss]. Show all posts
Showing posts with label [.Stop loss]. Show all posts

Saturday, June 2, 2018

Understand "Stop Hunting" concept in one minute.


Stop hunting is a very important concept in trading of anything. When you buy a goods or service, you want the buying price to be as low as possible. How could you get the cheapest price ? You must buy it from people who really need to sell it to get quick money from you. In stock or forex markets, you want to buy from people who are forced to sell their holdings to cover the damage due to their bad investments. 

On the left hand side of EURUSD pair in 1 minute chart above, many investors expected that the market was about to turn upward. So they bought the pair and set up their stop loss just below the price bars as shown in the chart with $ signs. This was opposite to what the market makers thought. They had a huge amount of buy orders to be fulfilled instantly and they had to have positions in their hands and they need to buy those positions at cheap prices. What they did was using some money to shift the price down very quickly to trigger the stop losses of other buyers ($$$$$$$$$$$$). So those buyers unwillingly sold out their positions to the market makers. The market makers kept buying until the supply dried up and the price slipped higher. When the public spotted this price appreciation, they joined buying the pair driving the price even higher. Who were selling positions to the public ? They were the market makers that supplied the positions to the public. This happens all the time in every markets of everything.

Investors who want to learn how to read market stories from the charts can consult me (Dr. Nimit Chomnawang) at [ m.me/nimit.chomnawang ].

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Thursday, May 10, 2018

Super stop-hunting during 2009 crisis.


This monthly chart of EURUSD before and during 2009 financial crisis shows a giant stop hunting. To explain how the market makers work, we read the market from left to right. Starting from early 2006, the market recovers from a correction and closes above sma5 line (aqua). Then it closes above sma20 (white). Then sma5 closes above sma20 approximately the same time as macd(6,13,2) turns from negative to positive zones. The price then rally up along the sma5 line and peaks out in mid 2008. During this path, the buyers keep setting their stop-loss points under the candles. After the mid 2008, the market suddenly plunges down very deep and stop hunting begins. The buyers are forced to sell out their investments to cut losses. The market makers keeps buying those positions. Within just 3 months, the market wipes out all profits from 2-year price rally and gives the buyers nothing or huge losses. The hunting ended near the beginning point of the previous rally the same time as the peak of volume, the crossing down of sma5 and sma20, and the turning from positive to negative zones of macd6132. This is the point that the market makers think they have "enough" positions to make good profits. They then manipulate the price into a new uptrend until it is obvious to the world that the new rally has been started. After this they keep selling their positions to the world at higher prices and make big profits. This profit taking part takes the whole year to finish. This is the cycle behind the market. It has been done repeatedly for centuries. It will be done in the future. It is the way the markets work. We need to understand this in order to make profits from the markets.

Investors who want to learn how to read market stories from the charts can consult me (Dr. Nimit Chomnawang) at [ m.me/nimit.chomnawang ].

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Monday, January 16, 2017

Profit trailing of a long position using lower Bollinger band dip as a stop loss.



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